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NEWS
ANALYSIS
After
Koizumi's
visit
Japan is now keen on
putting back the missing link in its relationship with India. Koizumi talked big
business during his just concluded visit
What
is India News Service
2 May 2005
Then Finance Minister, Manmohan Singh
launched India's "Look East" policy in 1992 to seek out and develop
economic ties with the members of Asean and major east Asian economies.
Over a decade later, Japanese Prime Minister Koizumi came to India when Manmohan
Singh has graduated to the position of prime minister. It is not surprising that
the two countries are now in a better position than in the 1990s to take forward
their long dormant trade relationship.
Koizumi, who arrived in New Delhi late
last Thursday, held talks with Indian President Abdul Kalam and Prime Minister
Manmohan Singh on Friday.
His
trip to India, only weeks after a landmark visit by Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao
to New Delhi, was part
of Tokyo's 'strategic diplomacy' to compete with Beijing that has emerged as
a diplomatic and economic superpower.
India's own growing economic and geo-political clout is also not lost on Tokyo
which, over the past few weeks, has been trying to cope with anti-Japanese
sentiments in China.
The
biggest missing link between Japan and India has been economic relations.
Talking about a strategic "global partnership", India and Japan
have agreed to act together for reform of the United Nations Security Council,
joint development of the East Asian community, cooperation in the areas of oil
and natural gas and stronger economic, educational and cultural ties.
The India-Japan joint statement released during the visit of Japanese Prime
Minister Junichiro Koizumi said both countries will work together for an "Arc
of Advantage and Prosperity".
Both India and Japan aspire to be permanent members of the UNSC and are, along
with Brazil and Germany, part of the G-4, pushing for UN reforms. The joint
statement also spoke of working together to revitalise the General Assembly.
There is also a plan to have 30,000 Japanese language learners within the next
five years and of the introduction of Japanese as an alternate foreign language
in school curricula.
The joint statement spoke extensively about an "emerging Asia" which
is becoming a leading growth centre and increasingly influential in global
affairs.
In their discussions, Koizumi and Dr Manmohan Singh said, they were aware of
their "global partnership".
The renewed relations will include cooperation at bilateral, regional and global
levels. At the bilateral level, economic relations will be given an "urgent
focus".
External affairs minister Natwar Singh said Friday evening that the debate on
the veto issue was still open. Koizumi will also discuss UN reforms with
Pakistan, he said. Singh added that envoys will be sent to all 192 UN member
countries to gather support for India's demand for veto power if it gets a
permanent seat in the UNSC.
India and Japan have also called for annual prime ministerial meetings and the
setting up of a dialogue on oil and natural gas cooperation.
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India-Japan bilateral trade was $4.35 billion in the year ending March 2004,
about one a third of New Delhi's two-way trade of $13-billion-plus with China.
During 1993-2003, Japan's global FDI averaged
at $ 50 billion a year, of which India received $ 220 million a year or less
than one-fourth of 1 per cent! Even at the regional level, India received just 2
per cent of Japanese FDI. (China's share was 10 times higher at 22 per cent).
Ironically in the pre-reform period, India's economic ties with Japan were the
more developed among the Asian economies. Two-way trade often amounted to 10 per
cent of India's total. By the early 1970s, several Japanese firms had entered
into technical collaborations and/or joint venture arrangements with Indian
firms.
During the decade since the Look East policy
was launched, India's economic ties with east Asia made good progress. Trade
grew substantially with three Asean economies - Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand
- as well as Korea, and their share in Indiia's trade doubled during 1993-2003.
Trade with Singapore, on the other hand
stagnated and its share was halved. Unsurprisingly, trade with China and Hong
Kong increased dramatically and its share in the country's trade expanded more
than three-fold to 8 per cent during the period.
Besides increasing trade, a number of bilateral
trade, investments and economic cooperation agreements have been made,
especially with Thailand and Singapore, establishing broad-based economic ties
with them. Discussions are underway for establishing similarly broad-based
relationships with several other east Asian economies including China.
Unfortunately, however, the Look East policy did not find Japan on its radar and
failed to deepen India's economic ties with it. Trade with Japan actually
declined dramatically dropping its share to one-third of its level of 7 per cent
in 1993. Admittedly, the Japanese economy stagnated during much of this period
and offered limited room for big expansion.
However, it is difficult to attribute such
precipitous decline in trade with India to slow Japanese growth, especially when
Indian trade was never more than a tiny fraction (less than 0.5 per cent) of
Japan's global trade.
Failure to involve Japan and
a build broad-based economic relationship with it also resulted in closing the
doors on Japanese foreign direct investment (FDI). Japanese FDI and technology
have been a driving force behind the economic growth of several Asian economies
since the 1960s, giving rise to the so-called "flying geese" pattern
of growth.
Regionally, the two Asian giants will strive for closer collaboration for peace
and stability, while on the global stage, they will cooperate in environment,
energy, non-proliferation and security.
On the economic side, the two sides pledged to increase and diversify trade. A
joint study group to be set up soon will submit a report by end-2005 to improve
linkages and study the feasibility of an economic partnership agreement.
Special effort will be made to encourage top Japanese companies to invest in
India. Also, negotiations for a tax treaty will be concluded at the earliest.
The joint statement also called for enhanced defence dialogue and service to
service cooperation between the Coast Guard and the Indian Navy and Maritime
Self-Defence forces, including joint exercises against piracy.
The joint committee on science and technology will be revived for cooperation in
nano-science, robotics and alternative energy.
A happy outcome of the Koizumi visit is that the two Asian giants are waking up
to the potential of working together, and the areas of growth have been clearly
outlined.
Missing
Japan from India`s `Look East` policy, Vishwanath Desai, Business Standard
As
China fear looms large, Japan looks to India Financial Express
8-fold
plan to boost ties with Japan, Sify
Japan
and India move to deepen trade ties Financial Times
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