India Intelligence Report

 

 

   NK Nuclear Help to Iran, Indian Help Sought

  The Daily Telegraph carried an expose that accused North Korea (NK) of helping Iran with nuclear testing similar to the one it carried out last October by providing Iranian scientists relevant data and know-how.
 

 

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The Daily Telegraph carried an expose that accused North Korea (NK) of helping Iran with nuclear testing similar to the one it carried out last October by providing Iranian scientists relevant data and know-how. Quoting an unnamed European defense official, the report says that Pyongyang has invited a team of Iranian scientists to study its data in preparation for a test that Tehran wants to conduct most likely by the end of the year.

While Iran and NK regularly perform joint missile tests, there were also unconfirmed reports on the presence of Iranian nuclear scientists when Pyongyang tested its device. With fears of expansion of cooperation to nuclear fields, Western defense experts are worried that the transfer of know-how will help Tehran accelerate its nuclear weapons program. Furthermore, “increased activity at all of Iran’s nuclear facilities” noticed by Western spy agencies have raised suspicion that “the Iranians are working hard to prepare for their own underground nuclear test."

On a collision course with the rest of the world, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad had inspired a ban on 38 nuclear inspectors mostly from Western nations from entering his country. Even France, frequently at odds with US President George Bush’s militarily assertive policies, expressed serious concern about the motivations of Tehran. While there is still no consensus over Tehran’s nuclear program, many experts believe that the increased cooperation between Pyongyang and Tehran may see Iran testing a low-grade device within a year. Western defense experts speculate that the test site may be up the mountains so spy satellites may find it hard to pick up unusual activity.

As a signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), Iran is entitled to the full range of nuclear technologies and development cycle. But also under this treaty it is required to disclose nuclear activities and acquisitions. This transparency is a quid pro quo for the entitled. However, Iran had successfully hidden several nuclear facilities including the Natanz nuclear enrichment facility and the procurement of several centrifuges and designs from disgraced Pakistani nuclear scientist A.Q. Khan who is know to have had hosted a “nuclear supermarket.” Further, bellicose statements against Israel, alleged abetting of militants (Hamas) in Palestinian Territories, (the Hezbollah) in Lebanon, and anti-Sunni radical groups in Iraq, and unilateral abrogation of the Paris Agreement which required Tehran to halt nuclear enrichment has left Western nations and Israel very nervous about Tehran’s intentions. Recently, even other Sunni nations such as Saudi Arabia and Jordan have voiced concern about Iranian activities although they do not advocate military action against Tehran.

Amid this row, Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was quoted in the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) as having requested India to play a "constructive role" and facilitate conversation between his nation and the West. Reportedly, Supreme National Security Council member Hassan Rowhani met with Indian Ambassador to Iran Manbir Singh to facilitate this dialogue as his nation is willing to adopt “all the necessary measures to build international confidence.” Rowani had also accosted India’s help to “boost stability and development” om the region. However, any conversation with the west must be without “preconditions.” The meeting was widely covered in Iranian media. Ahmadinejad had also requested Riyadh to mediate between him and Washington and it is not clear if King Abdullah had taken the bait.

Several rounds of dialogues with the so-called EU-3 (Britain, France, and Germany) had failed and the Russian plan of creating a nuclear enrichment program dedicated for Iran had also failed primarily because of Tehran’s stubborn insistence on its right to enrich nuclear fuel. The precondition on “no preconditions” will not go well with the West which thinks that Tehran is spinning its wheels to buy time to test its nuclear device.

India has rightly maintained that the nuclear standoff should be resolved through negotiations and counsel the West on showing restraint. At the same time, New Delhi should also advise Tehran to follow the Russian plan of dedicated nuclear enrichment on Russian soil and even offer to participate in such an effort. If Tehran’s only goal is to secure nuclear fuel, the Russian plan will accommodate that since Moscow has strong trade, military, and historical ties with Tehran. The confrontational approach with the West will help neither Tehran nor the region.