India Intelligence Report

 

 

   Ethiopia Declares War against Islamists

  Ethiopia formally declared war on Islamists in neighboring Somalia claiming that such dramatic step was necessary to protect its sovereignty and its warplanes bombed two Islamist-held airfields in Somalia including the one in capital Mogadishu.
 

 

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Ethiopia formally declared war on Islamists in neighboring Somalia claiming that such dramatic step was necessary to protect its sovereignty and its warplanes bombed two Islamist-held airfields in Somalia including the one in capital Mogadishu. Fighting near Baidoa, the only city under the control of a weak interim secular government supported by Ethiopia and Western nations, and witnesses say that truck-loads of wounded Ethiopians were being transported in trucks and Islamist soldiers including those from Saudi Arabia recited the Koran going into battle. Somali government sources say that over 8000 foreign fighters have come in to support the SICC and it is not clear who is funding them or organizing this fight although the West and Ethiopia agree that the leadership was controlled by the al Qaeda. Addis Ababa fears a hard-line Muslim state on its doorstep and accuses the Somalia Islamic Courts Council (SICC) of wanting to annex ethnically Somali Ogaden region in Ethiopia and comparable regions in northeastern Kenya and Djibouti into a Greater Somalia. Residents living along Somalia's coast have seen hundreds of militants arriving by boat in answer to calls by religious leaders to wage a holy war against Ethiopia.

With MIG aircraft attacking runways of airports, the fighting in the Horn of Africa has grown into a new dimension. The leader of the Islamic militia, Sheik Hassan Dahir Aweys, flew into Mogadishu shortly after the attack and it was not clear if he was an intended target.

Analysts also say that infusion of Ethiopian fighters and air attacks seem to have saved the interim government from being over-run. Washington and Addis Ababa say that the SICC) is supported by the al Qaeda and Ethiopia’s enemy Eritrea. The internationally recognized government in Baidoa is largely symbolic as it controls a very small portion of the nation and the capital Mogadishu has been taken over by the Islamists. This government says that it has shut the borders giving Ethiopia the ruse to bomb the airports claiming that “illegal flights” presumably carrying arms and to carry “extremists” who waiting for an airlift out of Mogadishu.”

The SICC calls Ethiopia and the government “crusaders” and has vowed to “strike Addis Ababa the way they hit Mogadishu” and “even if it means getting weapons from outside.” They claim broad popular support for effort to restore order to Somalia under Islamic Shariah law after years of anarchy since the 1991 ouster of Dictator Siad Barre. There is an element of truth in this claim as the airport was opened after a decade. Claiming to represent the majority Sunni Muslims, the SICC is accusing a Christian majority Ethiopia of worsening border situations—both nations have fought two border wars.

Ethiopian troops also seem to have taken control of Baladwayne after bombing out the Islamists and encircled Dinsoor and Buur Hakaba. Meanwhile, reports suggest that the Islamists have retreated more than 30 miles to the southeast from Daynuney, a town just south of Baidoa after being bombed out of their forward positions. The Islamists have also abandoned their main stronghold in Bur Haqaba and were forming convoys headed toward the capital, Mogadishu. They have also vacated Belet Weyne, on the Somali-Ethiopian border along the Shabelle River and Ethiopian troops entered the town without a shot being fired and received warmly by the locals. Government and Ethiopian troops also entered the northern town of Bulo Barde where an Islamic cleric threatened execution of those who did not pray five times day. The Ethiopian television also reported that the coalition forces will move toward the city of Jowhar which is about 55 miles from Mogadishu capturing several villages. However, coalition troops are still trying to push back Islamist forces barely 12 miles south of Baidoa using heavy artillery and mortar fire.

The SICC dismisses these reports as this was “part of” their “military strategy."

Experts fear the conflict in Somalia could engulf the region and a recent U.N. report named 10 countries to have supplied arms and equipment to either side. Military strategists fear that the al Qaeda may be trying to open up a third front after Afghanistan and Iraq. They say that the SICC’s severe and narrow interpretation of Islam is similar to Afghanistan Taliban regime which was ousted by the US in 2001. The US Government also says that four al Qaeda suspects of bombing of US embassies in Kenya and Tanzania are leading the SICC.

No independent verification has been possible to substantiate the claims of either party of killing hundreds of opponents in their mortar, rocket, machinegun, and tank attacks. Aid agencies are struggling to get help to more than a million Somalis afflicted by conflict coming on the heels of weeks of flooding worsening their impoverished state. The U.N. World Food Program airlifted several tons of food and other aid into Somalia