India Intelligence Report

 

 

 Israel Proposes Prisoner Exchange

  In an act of good faith, Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert suggested that his government would be willing to release Palestinian prisoners even though the captured Israeli soldiers remain in Gaza but also proposed a formal agreement with the Palestinian Authority.
 

 

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In an act of good faith, Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert suggested that his government would be willing to release Palestinian prisoners even though the captured Israeli soldiers remain in Gaza but also proposed a formal agreement with the Palestinian Authority. Washington and the EU have been pressurizing Tel Aviv to make proactive goodwill gestures especially to boost the hand of Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas so the region can benefit from a democratic overthrow of the radical group Hamas. This was especially after the visit of British Prime Minister Tony Blair to the region recently when he lionized Abbas as the savior of Palestinians. Abbas had announced new elections since the Hamas government has run the territories into a stalemate with Israel and rest of the world.

At their first formal meeting in over 6 months on Saturday, Olmert pledged to release USD 100 million withheld by Israel as retribution for Hamas’s hard-line stance against the Jewish nation and refusing to honor prior international commitments and eschew violence. With this revenue, Abbas can demonstrate his capability to soften a hard-line Israeli outlook to PA. However, Olmert promised the money to Abbas and not to Hamas and given the structure of the PA, it is not clear how Abbas will control the funds.

Playing to domestic partners and audience, Olmert reiterated that Abbas is “an adversary” and “not an easy adversary” but said that with “an adversary like this, there is maybe a chance” for “dialogue” and “agreement” between the two parties. Both leaders had pledged to restart stalled peace talks even though Tel Aviv vowed to “harm the terrorists” if necessary “to create a political horizon” and “strengthen the moderate elements” there are “among the Palestinians.” It is not clear what he was hinting but speculation is rife that Israel may not hesitate to act against the Hamas in a hard way to strengthen the hand of the Fattah party led by Abbas.

Although three senior Cabinet members have accepted the idea, Olmert has to still to gain consensus in his coalition. The reversal of policy away from former hard-line message of refusing to negotiate with terrorists or releasing those with “blood on their hands” is a significant shift to a point where Tel Aviv is willing to even release former Fattah hit-man Marwan Barghouthi considered as the best Fattah candidate against Hamas if Abbas refuses to run for office. The 47 year old Barghouthi was convicted by an Israeli court for orders hits against the Israeli defense forces in protest against its occupation of PA. Barghouthi continues to deny these charges. The other issue is that Hamas will most definitely portray Abbas as an Israeli stooge and a hard-line Barghouthi beholden to Fattah party charter may be a happy middle ground.

Palestinian sources say that there are over 11,000 men, women, and children held prisoner by Israel and charge that is neither confirmer or denied by Tel Aviv. Many are still skeptical on whether Israel will release the USD 100 million and some fear that this will drive a wedge between Fattah and Hamas even further and increase killings.

Hamas has already criticized the deal accusing Abbas of setting a “serious precedent” of agreeing with Israel to funnel the money through his office rather than the treasury.