India Intelligence Report

 

 

   Huge US Senate Support for Nuke Deal

  Handing US President a major victory on a key foreign policy objective and in a major show of bipartisan support, the Senate overwhelmingly endorsed the Indo-US Civilian Nuclear Deal that will allow the US to ship civilian nuclear fuel and technology to India.
 

 

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Handing US President a major victory on a key foreign policy objective and in a major show of bipartisan support, the Senate overwhelmingly endorsed the Indo-US Civilian Nuclear Deal that will allow the US to ship civilian nuclear fuel and technology to India . As leaders of both political parties championed the proposal which reverses decades of US anti-proliferation policy and isolation of India in exchange for strengthening a key relationship with a friendly, democratic, and secular Asian power with a responsible record in non-proliferation. The Senate carried the vote 85-12.

A key champion of the deal, Republican Senator Richard Lugar from Indiana labeled the deal “the most important strategic diplomatic initiative” and “a lasting incentive” for India to give up future nuclear weapons and “to cooperate closely with the United States in stopping proliferation.” Lugar also said that this deal is “one more important step toward a vibrant and exciting relationship” between the two great democracies. Democratic Senator Joseph Biden from Delaware thanked the Senate for a “truly bipartisan effort” that and said that the endorsement brings the US “a giant step closer” to India and is also a “major shift” in bilateral relations as both nations will be the “pillars of security in the 21st century" that “will increase the prospect for stability and progress in South Asia and in the world at large.”

A delighted US President George Bush was enthusiastically praised the Senate for its endorsement saying that the deal “will India into the international nuclear nonproliferation mainstream and will increase the transparency of India 's entire civilian nuclear program.” He apparently called Prime Minister Manmohan Singh from Singapore to communicate progress on the deal but before the vote. US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice emphatically agreed that the deal “open up an extraordinary new era” in Indo-US relations and will also serve economic, energy, and non-proliferation.

Unfortunately, there is still some remnant opposition to the deal. Democratic Senator Byron Dorgan from North Dakota says that the deal is a “horrible mistake” as it would “provides a green light” for India to develop new nuclear weapons. Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer California tried unsuccessfully to introduce a condition that India would have to cut off military-to-military ties with Iran . Democratic Representative Ed Markey from Massachusetts moaned that the Senate's endorsement “sends the wrong signal at a time when the world is trying to prevent Iran from getting” a nuclear bomb.

As pointed out by Rice, all these allegations and assertions were disingenuous and conditions that the US does not expect of even its closest allies. India has already unilaterally declared a moratorium on testing and no-first-use policy. It has already said that while it will support Iran get benefits for signing the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), it also expects Tehran to honor all its international commitments. After feedback from Russia and the US, India has already tightened its laws to control export of nuclear, weapons of mass destruction (WMD), and dual use technologies. Most importantly, these protestations do not consider the democratic, secular, and restrain that India has demonstrated in modern history that surpasses even the US . For example, despite several terrorist attacks India has never targeted any community and despite invasion by Pakistani regulars in Kargil , India chose not to cross the Line of Control (LoC) to evict the Pakistani troops. Even though the Senate overwhelmingly rejected many amendments and changes, one new provision was inserted where the President had to attest that India has joined a multi-lateral effort to curb Iran’s nuclear ambition.

Another important objection from opponents of the deal tried to insert a Pakistani factor into the debate. Some sought to glorify India and pin the blame on Pakistan’s “single-minded” approach. Others said that the deal may encourage China to offer a similar deal to Pakistan . The first set of arguments is apologetic and the second one self-serving. Pakistan is not in the same league as India is in terms of economy, energy needs, non-proliferation record, or international standing. Even before the nuclear deal for India was conceived, China has been transferring nuclear and WMD technology surreptitiously and is now offering them overtly. If India is having such a hard time getting a buy in from the NSG, IAEA, and hardliners in the US , Pakistan ’s case will be a non-starter.

The good news is that a majority of the Senate and Congress saw these points and that explains the overwhelming support for the deal. Unfortunately, such strong support does not mean that the process is complete. The Congressional and Senate versions need to be reconciled and ratified by respective bodies before reaching Bush’s desk for inclusion in law. After this process is complete, India needs to complete separate agreements with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the US Government (called the “123 Agreement”), and convince the 45-nation Nuclear Suppliers’ Group (NSG) to approve the deal.

Whatever happens going forward, the Senate vote in a tight session with numerous issues only shows the importance of India to the United States . The Bush Administration has done more to improve bilateral relations than all previous Administrations combined. Eschewing decades of unnecessary animosity and Cold War rivalry, the two estranged democracies may find a common ground yet in furthering democracy, fight against terrorism, non-proliferation, and ensuring safe and reliable supply of energy.