India Intelligence Report

 

 

   Qualitative Jump in Indo-US Relations

  In a major show of good faith, US policy makers worked into the night to reconcile the House and Senate versions of the amendments to US law that would facilitate Indo-US civilian nuclear cooperation and will be signed into law by US President George Bush.
 

 

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Qualitative Jump in Indo-US Relations
   

Concern 2: Fuel Development Restrictions

Secondly, some Indian strategists are concerned that the bill will restrict or limit the nation's right to reprocess atomic fuel or develop sensitive nuclear technologies. Noted nuclear scientist and India's Atomic Energy Commission (AEC) M.R. Srinivasan is on record arguing that since India "already possess" these technologies, the language denying such technology is "causing concern." The fear is that the US would, at its convenience, suddenly ask India to give up enrichment or reprocessing technologies.

While it is impossible to predict the future, the Indian Government is already on record saying that it does not want nuclear weapons parity with China, its largest enemy with which it is trying to better relations, but only a "credible minimum deterrent." Public domain data says that India has enough nuclear bombs or can produce enough to achieve this goal. Additionally, it is also supposed to hold enough fissile material to make scores more. Given this context, the enrichment limitation is not really a limitation that India wants to fight because it has already achieved its goals.

Additionally, India has also agreed to abide by the same standards of the acknowledged Nuclear Weapons States (NWS) in exchange to be treated as one outside the ambit of the NPT. Since New Delhi has also been vocal stating its intention to pursue a fissile material cutoff treaty (FMCT), why should it not set an example to the rest of the world in yet another sphere by voluntarily stopping production of fissile material? This is essentially what the negotiators of the nuclear deal from India did.

At the same time, India does not want to be stuck as it did with the Tarapur deal where the US was not willing to take back the nuclear waste nor would it allow India to reprocess the fuel. The storage and supplementary costs will soon make nuclear energy generation unviable. Remarking on this aspect, U.S. Under-Secretary of State Nicholas Burns said that the issue of "spent nuclear fuel" was "ahead of us" in future negotiations meaning the nations need to work out a mechanism of dealing with it. At the same time, he confirmed that the US will not provide reprocessing or enrichment technologies to India.