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North Korea tests several
missiles and the long-range one fails
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Japan calls special UNSC
meeting but no consensus is expected
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Little leverage over Pyongyang
as the nation is already isolated. China claims very little influence
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Disregarding threats, advice, and calls for restraint North Korea test-fired a
barrage of long-range missiles capable of reaching Alaska but the world
remained confused on how do deal with this crisis. The tests provoked
international condemnation. It launched these tests despite being in continuing
negotiation with the US and the ongoing six-country talks that includes Russia,
China, Japan and South Korea and in a state of a voluntary moratorium on
missile tests. The North Korean Government, being big on symbolism, chose to
launch the missiles as the US was celebrating its July 4 Independence Day.
There seems to be confusion on how many missiles were actually fired. While
Japan and South Korea say that 7 missiles were fired, Russia reported 10. The
US gleefully asserted that the long-range Taepodong-2 missile apparently failed
40 seconds into its flight. Confirming this, Japanese and South Korean analysts
say that the missiles fell into the sea separating the Korean peninsula from
Japan. Experts say the Taepodong-2 has a possible range of 3,500-4,300 km
(2,190-2,690 miles) and will definitely be proliferated to Pakistan and this
development is of serious concern to India.
At Japan’s request, the UN Security Council is scheduled to meet to discuss
the latest move and evolve options. South Korea’s military stepped up its alert
level after the launch. Ahead of the meeting, the US warned North Korea against
more provocative acts and said it will take necessary measures to protect
itself and its allies. White House spokesman said “The United States strongly
condemns these missile launches and North Korea’s unwillingness to heed calls
for restraint from the international community.” The spokesman said that the
tests “demonstrate North Korea’s intent to intimidate other states by
developing missiles of increasingly longer ranges.” The US has been breathing
fire promising to take unspecified retaliatory action against Pyongyang if it
went ahead with the tests. Now that the tests are done, it is not clear what it
will do. American media was highly critical of the US for raising the warning
level but without a clear strategy on how to follow-through with their warning.
The only response was a vague “We are consulting with international partners on
next steps.”
China expressed concern about the tests but typically vaguely said that
reaction should be “constructive” urging all parties not to aggravate tensions
in the region. North Korea is an ally of China since the 1950s and seen as a
prop against US-backing South Korea and Japan. The tone and timing contrasted
with the condemnations issued by other world and regional powers and the grim
assessments issued by China's foreign-policy community members. China provides
critical fuel, food and other economic assistance to the diplomatically
isolated Pyongyang Government. China is the main trading partner, and it
contributes the lion's share of foreign investment into the North's struggling
economy. While the Taepodong-2 missile appeared to be a complete flop, crashing
after 40 seconds, Chinese analysts say that international uproar over the tests
would make it even more difficult for China to juggle its North Korea ties with
its hopes for smooth relations with Washington and its partners. They say that
the failure only shows that Pyongyang has not made any technical progress in
the last 10 years.
Russia voiced grave concern over North Korea's missile tests. A Russian
Foreign Ministry statement said these actions “run counter to the expectations
of the international community and its efforts to strengthen peace and
stability in the region and could complicate the settlement of the nuclear
problem on the Korean peninsula.” Apparently, two of the missiles reportedly
splashed down in the sea a few dozen kilometers from Russia's Far Eastern city
of Nakhodka. The North Korean ambassador in Moscow was summoned to the Foreign
Ministry over the incident and told that “The launch has threatened shipping in
the Pacific Ocean and violated common practices of advanced missile launch
warning.” Russian spokesman said Russia would "take a most active part" in the
U.N. Security Council meeting. However, a senior Russian legislator said Moscow
would not support sanctions against Pyongyang. Russia acknowledges that the
missile tests were a “provocation” which “seriously aggravates the situation
around the Korean nuclear program.”
US National Security Adviser Stephen Hadley took a simplistic view saying that
the multiple firings posed no threat to US territory and that the launches
might have been an attempt by Pyongyang to steal the spotlight away from Iran,
which has been the main focus of US nuclear diplomacy in recent months.
“Obviously, it is a bit of an effort to get attention, perhaps because so much
attention has been focused on the Iranians.”
This is a strange conclusion given that the threat perception from a nuclear
armed North Korea now armed with long-range missiles and a history of
proliferation. Investigators found that North Korea bartered missile technology
with Pakistan in return for nuclear weapons technology with complete approval
from and knowledge of China.
It is not clear what options are really available to the world community. The
country is already isolated economically, diplomatically, militarily, and
politically. Russia is opposed to further sanctions and China will oppose any
strong statements. Japan said it would consider immediate economic sanctions
against North Korea as it had banned visits by North Korean ferries for six
months. But these are symbolic gestures which will fail to change autocrat Kim
Jong’s mind. The multi-party talks sponsored by China have foundered since
November, with North Korea refusing to take part while Washington threatens
financial sanctions based on claims the North laundered money earned from drug
trafficking and counterfeiting US currency. Chinese claim that it has very
little influence over Jong even though there is continued diplomatic, economic,
and personal bonhomie between the two communist nations.
After the inconclusive truce which halted the 1950-1953 Korean conflict, the
two Koreas are technically still at war for more than half a century with
30,000 US troops remaining in South Korea under a mutual defense treaty.
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